Luca Nardi vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Manama CH Round of 16

Manama CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
ITA7
Luca Nardi
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 27 January 2026
hard
NOR
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#121ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
Nardi L.
6-3 6-0
Budkov Kjaer N.
Nardi L.
662
Budkov Kjaer N.
300

Luca Nardi defeated Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-3 6-0 in the Manama CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer came in ranked #121, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Budkov Kjaer N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nardi L.Budkov Kjaer N.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nardi L.Budkov Kjaer N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
78
Break points won·Clear edge
15
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nardi L.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Budkov Kjaer N.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
5.5+26 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
5.5
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
5.3
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nardi L.Budkov Kjaer N.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Nardi L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Budkov Kjaer N.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Jacquet K.
Nardi L.[7]
7-53-66-4
Semi-finals
Nardi L.[7]
Virtanen O.
7-666-2
Jacquet K.
Bellucci M.[2]
6-796-47-66
Quarter-finals
Nardi L.[7]
Blanchet U.
6-46-4
Jacquet K.
Fearnley J.[3]
7-641-66-3
Bellucci M.[2]
Tirante T.[6]
6-46-4
Virtanen O.
Travaglia S.
6-47-5
R16
Travaglia S.
Wong C.
6-746-36-4
Blanchet U.
Grenier H.
7-656-4
Nardi L.[7]
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-36-0
Jacquet K.
Hanfmann Y.[5]
6-37-63
Tirante T.[6]
Schwaerzler J.
3-66-26-3
Virtanen O.
Giustino L.
7-646-3
Fearnley J.[3]
Pokorny L.
3-66-46-1
Bellucci M.[2]
Butvilas E.
6-47-5
R32
Nardi L.[7]
Pacheco Mendez R.
7-657-61
Giustino L.
Misolic F.[4]
7-657-64
Blanchet U.
Popyrin A.[1]
6-37-66
Grenier H.
Zhukayev B.
6-756-26-1
Budkov Kjaer N.
Kuzmanov D.
5-76-17-5
Fearnley J.[3]
Neumayer L.
6-37-64
Tirante T.[6]
Blancaneaux G.
6-36-3
Schwaerzler J.
Ursu V.
7-656-4
Butvilas E.
Mrva M.
6-26-2
Bellucci M.[2]
Erel Y.
6-46-4
Virtanen O.
Zhang Z.
4-67-6127-65
Wong C.
Peniston R.
6-36-2
Hanfmann Y.[5]
Dhamne M.
6-36-2
Jacquet K.
Oconnell C.
6-36-1
Travaglia S.
Mochizuki S.[8]
6-37-61
Pokorny L.
Den Ouden G.
6-47-5