Mariano Kestelboim vs Mateus Alves — Concepcion CH Qualifying Round 1

Concepcion CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Mariano Kestelboim
ARG11
Mariano Kestelboim
#692ATP
1198ELO
1189Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 27 January 2026
clay
BRA
Mateus Alves
#455ATP
1245ELO
1247Clay ELO
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLW
Kestelboim M.
6-4 4-6 6-2
Alves M.
Kestelboim M.
6462
Alves M.
4621

Mariano Kestelboim defeated Mateus Alves 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the Concepcion CH qualifying round 1 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kestelboim M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Alves M.

Alves M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kestelboim M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kestelboim M.Alves M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kestelboim M.Alves M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
14
8
Break points saved·Dominant
7
77
Break points won·Slight edge
18
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
1
Tiebreaks·
—
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kestelboim M.
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 78 days (−1.2)
Alves M.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1189
Surface ELO
5.9+58 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1198
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1245
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
3.9
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kestelboim M.Alves M.
Freshness·
—
78

Alves M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Q2
Torres J.[8]
Boitan G.[4]
6-26-2
Dutra Da Silva D.[5]
Roncadelli F.[7]
6-13-66-4
Justo G.[9]
Huertas Del Pino A.
6-13-0
Ribeiro Marcondes I.[10]
Agamenone F.[1]
6-47-5
Mena F.[3]
Kestelboim M.[11]
6-46-4
Villanueva G.[6]
Estevez J.
7-656-0
Q1
Villanueva G.[6]
Palosi S.
6-27-5
Estevez J.
Ambrogi L.[12]
6-27-62
Agamenone F.[1]
Menzel Piccioli T.
6-06-1
Ribeiro Marcondes I.[10]
Cossu M.
6-37-62
Justo G.[9]
Huertas Del Pino C.
6-13-66-1
Mena F.[3]
Aguilar Cardozo J.
6-766-36-2
Kestelboim M.[11]
Alves M.
6-44-66-2
Boitan G.[4]
Schiessl J.
4-66-47-64
Torres J.[8]
Saraiva Dos Santos P.
6-26-1
Dutra Da Silva D.[5]
Ribeiro E.
6-33-67-65
Roncadelli F.[7]
De La Pena B.
6-36-4