Camila Osorio vs Donna Vekic — Manila 125 Final

Manila 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
Camila Osorio
COL
Camila Osorio
#68WTA
1807ELO
1780Hard ELO
24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 January 2026
hard
Donna Vekic
CRO
Donna Vekic
#34WTA
1807ELO
1736Hard ELO
$625kYTD
$11MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Osorio C.
2-6 6-3 7-5
Vekic D.
Osorio C.
2672
Vekic D.
6351

Camila Osorio defeated Donna Vekic 2-6 6-3 7-5 in the Manila 125 final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Donna Vekic came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Osorio C.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Vekic D.

Vekic D.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Osorio C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osorio C.Vekic D.
10
Serve
6
62
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Osorio C.Vekic D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.4
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Osorio C.Vekic D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
84
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
86
Break points won·Slight edge
99
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Osorio C.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Vekic D.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+45 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1736
5.5Overall Elo 1807
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1807
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
2.9
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
8.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Osorio C.Vekic D.
Freshness·Even
95
97

Osorio C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Vekic D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Osorio C.
Vekic D.
2-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Vekic D.
Prozorova T.
6-26-4
Osorio C.
Sierra S.
6-06-1
Quarter-finals
Prozorova T.
Costoulas S.
4-66-26-4
Vekic D.
Zhu L.
6-46-3
Sierra S.
Tararudee L.
6-36-4
Osorio C.
Eala A.
6-46-4
R16
Costoulas S.
Ma Y.
6-26-4
Vekic D.
Tkacheva M.
6-16-2
Zhu L.
Sawangkaew M.
6-37-65
Tararudee L.
Kudermetova P.
6-46-4
Eala A.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-0
Prozorova T.
Maria T.
7-626-4
Sierra S.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-3
Osorio C.
Hontama M.
6-44-66-2
R32
Costoulas S.
Morvayova V.
6-787-646-4
Vekic D.
Okamura K.
6-26-2
Tararudee L.
Waltert S.
6-23-66-2
Sierra S.
Garland J.
6-47-65
Maria T.
Jeanjean L.
7-656-4
Prozorova T.
Emana K.
6-16-0
Ma Y.
Semenistaja D.
6-17-66
Sawangkaew M.
Madis T.
6-46-0
Zhu L.
Sun L.
7-56-4
Kudermetova P.
Kuramochi M.
6-37-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Plipuech P.
6-06-4
Osorio C.
Hosogi S.
6-46-3
Hontama M.
Abarquez E.
6-06-0
Sakatsume H.
Hibino N.
6-37-5
Eala A.
Charaeva A.
6-16-2
Tkacheva M.
Saito S.
6-26-2