Ye Xin Ma vs Darja Semenistaja — Manila 125 Round of 32

Manila 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CHN
Ye Xin Ma
#193WTA
1450ELO
1441Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 January 2026
hard
LAT
Darja Semenistaja
#104WTA
1654ELO
1568Hard ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
Ma Y.
6-1 7-6
Semenistaja D.
Ma Y.
6782
Semenistaja D.
166–

Ye Xin Ma defeated Darja Semenistaja 6-1 7-6 in the Manila 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Darja Semenistaja came in ranked #104.

Key context

  • Match story: Ye Xin Ma came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ma Y.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Semenistaja D.

Semenistaja D.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ma Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ma Y.Semenistaja D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ma Y.Semenistaja D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
76
Break points saved·Even
54
52
Break points won·Clear edge
80
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
94
Tiebreaks·
—
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ma Y.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Semenistaja D.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO
5.6+127 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ma Y.Semenistaja D.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Ma Y.: 19 days rest · Semenistaja D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Osorio C.
Vekic D.
2-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Vekic D.
Prozorova T.
6-26-4
Osorio C.
Sierra S.
6-06-1
Quarter-finals
Prozorova T.
Costoulas S.
4-66-26-4
Vekic D.
Zhu L.
6-46-3
Sierra S.
Tararudee L.
6-36-4
Osorio C.
Eala A.
6-46-4
R16
Costoulas S.
Ma Y.
6-26-4
Vekic D.
Tkacheva M.
6-16-2
Zhu L.
Sawangkaew M.
6-37-65
Tararudee L.
Kudermetova P.
6-46-4
Eala A.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-0
Prozorova T.
Maria T.
7-626-4
Sierra S.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-3
Osorio C.
Hontama M.
6-44-66-2
R32
Costoulas S.
Morvayova V.
6-787-646-4
Vekic D.
Okamura K.
6-26-2
Tararudee L.
Waltert S.
6-23-66-2
Sierra S.
Garland J.
6-47-65
Maria T.
Jeanjean L.
7-656-4
Prozorova T.
Emana K.
6-16-0
Ma Y.
Semenistaja D.
6-17-66
Sawangkaew M.
Madis T.
6-46-0
Zhu L.
Sun L.
7-56-4
Kudermetova P.
Kuramochi M.
6-37-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Plipuech P.
6-06-4
Osorio C.
Hosogi S.
6-46-3
Hontama M.
Abarquez E.
6-06-0
Sakatsume H.
Hibino N.
6-37-5
Eala A.
Charaeva A.
6-16-2
Tkacheva M.
Saito S.
6-26-2