Marina Stakusic vs Lin Zhu — Australian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
CAN
Marina Stakusic
#138WTA
1707ELO
1672Hard ELO
21 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Lin Zhu
CHN
Lin Zhu
#130WTA
1674ELO
1647Hard ELO
32 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Stakusic M.
7-5 6-4
Zhu L.
Stakusic M.
762
Zhu L.
54–

Marina Stakusic defeated Lin Zhu 7-5 6-4 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lin Zhu came in ranked #130.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Stakusic M.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Zhu L.

Zhu L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Stakusic M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stakusic M.Zhu L.
—
Serve
14
—
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Stakusic M.Zhu L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stakusic M.Zhu L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
73
64
Break points won·Even
94
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
15
Tiebreaks·
—
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stakusic M.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Zhu L.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+25 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1647
5.5Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
2.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stakusic M.Zhu L.
Freshness·
—
100

Zhu L.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q3
Bai Z.
Vidmanova D.
4-66-46-1
Stephens S.
Bronzetti L.
6-17-5
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Kalieva E.
7-54-66-4
Yuan Y.
Zidansek T.
6-36-1
Sonmez Z.
Gasanova A.
6-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Tomova V.
7-636-2
Sakatsume H.
Bassols Ribera M.
4-67-646-4
Sasnovich A.
Snigur D.
6-20-66-2
Stakusic M.
Zhu L.
7-56-4
Kalinina A.
Chwalinska M.
5-76-26-1
Hunter S.
Townsend T.
7-666-2
Klimovicova L.
Minnen G.
6-46-4
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
6-36-0
Inglis M.
Korpatsch T.
6-46-4
Fruhvirtova L.
Lee C.
5-76-26-4
Bartunkova N.
Osuigwe W.
6-16-0
Q2
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Prozorova T.
6-22-67-67
Tararudee L.
Dart H.
6-03-66-3
Korpatsch T.
Ambrosio S.
6-32-0
Inglis M.
Liu C.
7-662-66-4
Bai Z.
Paquet C.
6-16-2
Vidmanova D.
Salkova D.
7-626-0
Bronzetti L.
Stoiana M.
7-671-66-4
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
3-66-36-3
Kalieva E.
Ma Y.
6-46-2
Zidansek T.
Gjorcheska L.
4-66-27-5
Yuan Y.
Carle M.
7-653-66-4
Sonmez Z.
Riera J.
6-36-1
Gasanova A.
Mikulskyte J.
6-746-26-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Papamichail D.
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Hruncakova V.
6-46-4
Bassols Ribera M.
Shymanovich I.
7-56-1
Sakatsume H.
Hontama M.
6-46-2
Sasnovich A.
Von Deichmann K.
6-37-64
Snigur D.
Branstine C.
6-44-2
Zhu L.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-2
Stakusic M.
Kostovic T.
6-06-2
Chwalinska M.
Masarova R.
7-685-76-1
Kalinina A.
Koevermans A.
7-666-0
Townsend T.
Ortenzi J.
6-46-4
Hunter S.
Radivojevic L.
6-47-61
Minnen G.
Tan H.
7-636-3
Klimovicova L.
Cabrera L.
6-47-5
Tagger L.
Pridankina E.
6-757-656-1
Lee C.
Micic E.
6-26-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Ferro F.
6-43-66-4
Bartunkova N.
Smith T.
1-65-2
Osuigwe W.
Stefanini L.
7-56-2
Q1
Riera J.
Shibahara E.
6-41-66-3
Mikulskyte J.
Rosatello C.
6-36-2
Micic E.
Monnet C.
6-44-66-1
Stakusic M.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-2
Masarova R.
Charaeva A.
6-36-727-65
Chwalinska M.
Brengle M.
7-636-3
Koevermans A.
Kokkinis T.
6-36-3
Kalinina A.
Garland J.
7-56-2
Paquet C.
Mladenovic K.
6-26-736-3
Bai Z.
Korneeva A.
6-46-3
Vidmanova D.
Xu M.
6-32-66-2
Salkova D.
Guo H.
7-56-1
Bronzetti L.
Bolsova A.
6-06-736-1
Stoiana M.
Brancaccio N.
7-54-67-5
Stephens S.
Palicova B.
6-17-5
Gadecki O.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Sherif M.
6-46-3
Prozorova T.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-26-4
Kalieva E.
Wei S.
4-66-23-2
Ma Y.
Lepchenko V.
6-16-3
Gjorcheska L.
Kraus S.
7-56-0
Zidansek T.
Ponchet J.
7-636-3
Carle M.
Iatcenko P.
6-36-3
Yuan Y.
Chirico L.
3-66-16-2
Sonmez Z.
Samson L.
6-26-2
Gasanova A.
Quevedo K.
7-636-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Tubello A.
6-23-66-0
Papamichail D.
Vickery S.
6-37-5
Hruncakova V.
Nahimana S.
6-36-1
Tomova V.
Pera B.
1-66-46-0
Bassols Ribera M.
Giovannini L.
6-27-64
Shymanovich I.
Rodionova A.
7-645-76-4
Sakatsume H.
Leonard M.
6-26-1
Hontama M.
Timofeeva M.
1-66-47-5
Sasnovich A.
Efremova K.
6-36-1
Von Deichmann K.
Alame R.
3-67-56-1
Branstine C.
Sharma A.
7-632-66-3
Snigur D.
Kawa K.
6-12-66-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Cross K.
4-66-47-5
Zhu L.
Pigossi L.
6-46-4
Kostovic T.
Mrdeza T.
6-06-3
Townsend T.
Hibino N.
6-736-07-5
Ortenzi J.
Rame A.
5-76-36-4
Hunter S.
Gorgodze E.
7-56-3
Radivojevic L.
Subasic A.
3-66-16-4
Minnen G.
Jorge F.
6-26-3
Tan H.
Pieri J.
7-642-66-4
Cabrera L.
Knutson G.
7-56-0
Klimovicova L.
Webb S.
6-26-1
Pridankina E.
Parry D.
6-36-2
Tagger L.
Gao X.
3-67-56-3
Dart H.
Aiava D.
6-32-66-3
Tararudee L.
Costoulas S.
6-46-3
Korpatsch T.
Bulgaru M.
6-46-776-2
Ambrosio S.
Sanchez A.
6-16-2
Liu C.
Wurth T.
6-36-4
Inglis M.
Romero Gormaz L.
4-67-646-2
Lee C.
Vandewinkel H.
3-66-36-4
Ferro F.
Ku Y.
6-36-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Friedsam A.
2-66-26-3
Bartunkova N.
Janicijevic S.
6-36-3
Smith T.
Brace C.
7-657-66
Osuigwe W.
Sevastova A.
6-26-0
Stefanini L.
Vedder E.
6-46-2