Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano vs Niels Mcdonald — Soma Bay CH Qualifying Round 1

Soma Bay CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
MEX2
Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano
1260ELO
1254Hard ELO
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
GER
Niels Mcdonald
#569ATP
1351ELO
1247Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
Hernandez Serrano J.
6-4 7-5
Mcdonald N.
Hernandez Serrano J.
672
Mcdonald N.
450

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano defeated Niels Mcdonald 6-4 7-5 in the Soma Bay CH qualifying round 1 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hernandez Serrano J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald N.

Mcdonald N.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Hernandez Serrano J.

Serve advantage — Hernandez Serrano J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Hernandez Serrano J.Mcdonald N.
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
27%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hernandez Serrano J.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Mcdonald N.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hernandez Serrano J.Mcdonald N.
Freshness·
—
76

Mcdonald N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Q2
Mckennon M.
Bittoun Kouzmine C.
7-627-63
Napolitano S.[7]
Hernandez Serrano J.[2]
6-47-65
Kirkin E.
Tkemaladze Z.
6-26-1
Albot R.[4]
Fonio G.[12]
4-66-16-4
Boogaard T.
Blanch D.[9]
6-46-4
Gulin S.[11]
Binda A.[6]
6-26-3
Q1
Tkemaladze Z.
Ursu V.[3]
6-23-66-4
Kirkin E.
Ferrari G.[10]
6-46-3
Albot R.[4]
Ostapenkov D.
4-66-26-3
Fonio G.[12]
Miladinovic M.
6-26-2
Boogaard T.
Wiskandt M.[5]
7-56-4
Blanch D.[9]
Krajci M.
6-22-1
Binda A.[6]
Sorger S.
6-46-4
Gulin S.[11]
Kivattsev K.
6-26-2
Bittoun Kouzmine C.
Martin D.[1]
6-44-66-2
Mckennon M.
Erel Y.[8]
6-26-1
Hernandez Serrano J.[2]
Mcdonald N.
6-47-5
Napolitano S.[7]
Peliwo F.
6-46-3