Fiona Ferro vs Arantxa RusW75 Manama Semi-final

W75 Manama · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#188WTA
1662ELO
1624Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
#178WTA
1511ELO
1503Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLL
Ferro F.
7-6 6-3
Rus A.
Ferro F.
7762
Rus A.
633

Fiona Ferro defeated Arantxa Rus 7-6 6-3 in the W75 Manama semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arantxa Rus came in ranked #178, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Fiona Ferro claimed a first win over Arantxa Rus in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Fiona Ferro closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-02-18BudapestR32clayArantxa Rus7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ferro F.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Rus A.

Rus A.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Ferro F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
49%
37%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
39
15
Break points saved·Clear edge
36
51
Break points won·Even
82
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
84
15
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
8
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.5+122 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1503
6.8Overall Elo 1662
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1511
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ferro F.: 18 days rest · Rus A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast