Liam Draxl vs Mackenzie Mcdonald — Australian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Final
Liam Draxl
CAN20
Liam Draxl
#158ATP
1592ELO
1565Hard ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Mackenzie Mcdonald
USA6
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Draxl L.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Mcdonald M.
Draxl L.
37762
Mcdonald M.
66221

Liam Draxl defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 3-6 7-6 6-2 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Draxl L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Draxl L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draxl L.Mcdonald M.
—
Serve
25
—
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Draxl L.Mcdonald M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
55%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Draxl L.Mcdonald M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Dominant
36
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Draxl L.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Mcdonald M.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 78 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
5.7+39 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1592
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1606
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
5.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Draxl L.Mcdonald M.
Freshness·Slight edge
97
87

Draxl L.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%
Q3
Zheng M.
Klein L.[28]
4-66-37-610
Maestrelli F.[24]
Lajovic D.[13]
4-66-46-3
Ymer E.
Wong C.
7-644-66-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[23]
Herbert P.
6-26-3
Jodar R.
Van Assche L.
6-30-66-1
Damm M.
Bailly G.
7-57-5
Gea A.
Vallejo A.[30]
6-26-2
Wu Y.
Boyer T.
6-36-2
Sakamoto R.
Zeppieri G.
6-26-2
Sweeny D.
Travaglia S.
7-657-63
Svajda Z.[29]
Coppejans K.
7-656-2
Faria J.
Trungelliti M.[18]
7-656-3
Kubler J.
Blockx A.[7]
3-66-31-0
Fery A.
Prizmic D.[14]
6-46-1
Basavareddy N.
Loffhagen G.
5-76-46-4
Draxl L.[20]
Mcdonald M.[6]
3-67-626-2
Q2
Sakamoto R.
Smith C.[32]
6-46-4
Ymer E.
Moller E.[9]
4-66-47-5
Van Assche L.
Glinka D.
6-36-0
Sweeny D.
Kym J.
6-46-4
Draxl L.[20]
Sachko V.
6-35-77-67
Coppejans K.
Riedi L.
3-66-36-4
Wong C.
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-676-0
Prizmic D.[14]
Heide G.
7-56-2
Boyer T.
Passaro F.[27]
6-746-46-2
Trungelliti M.[18]
Rocha H.
7-54-66-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[23]
Mccabe J.
4-66-37-66
Zheng M.
Barrios Vera T.[4]
6-46-756-2
Svajda Z.[29]
Rodionov J.
6-16-4
Zeppieri G.
Holt B.[5]
6-747-56-4
Maestrelli F.[24]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-626-4
Basavareddy N.
Ofner S.[19]
4-66-47-611
Vallejo A.[30]
Cina F.
4-66-26-3
Fery A.
Tomic B.
6-46-2
Bailly G.
Carballes Baena R.[16]
7-646-736-2
Damm M.
Droguet T.
6-46-3
Gea A.
Burruchaga R.[2]
6-26-3
Blockx A.[7]
Molcan A.
6-16-1
Wu Y.
Mejia N.
6-46-4
Faria J.
Hassan B.
6-36-4
Mcdonald M.[6]
Grenier H.
7-646-1
Kubler J.
Gaubas V.[17]
7-56-2
Loffhagen G.
Nishioka Y.[8]
6-33-1
Herbert P.
Bueno G.
7-56-2
Lajovic D.[13]
Cassone M.
7-56-3
Jodar R.
Rodesch C.
7-6106-3
Klein L.[28]
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-726-4
Travaglia S.
Landaluce M.
4-66-16-4
Q1
Basavareddy N.
Galarneau A.
6-46-2
Droguet T.
Jarry N.[21]
6-46-3
Boyer T.
Barrena A.
6-26-746-2
Hassan B.
Dodig M.
5-76-36-2
Ofner S.[19]
Holmgren A.
6-46-4
Svajda Z.[29]
Habib H.
6-16-3
Wong C.
Blanchet U.[31]
6-37-66
Gaubas V.[17]
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-56-3
Cassone M.
Hsu Y.
3-66-36-4
Molcan A.
Shimabukuro S.
6-44-66-3
Prizmic D.[14]
Olivieri G.
6-16-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[23]
Watanuki Y.
6-757-56-4
Jodar R.
Tu L.
6-26-1
Lajovic D.[13]
Diaz Acosta F.
7-635-77-63
Loffhagen G.
Engel J.
7-647-62
Mccabe J.
Marinkov P.
6-27-65
Passaro F.[27]
Lajal M.
7-646-4
Burruchaga R.[2]
Peniston R.
6-16-1
Coppejans K.
Jasika O.
7-626-0
Grenier H.
Galan D.
7-691-0
Draxl L.[20]
Bouzige M.
7-636-3
Glinka D.
Tabur C.
5-76-36-4
Rocha H.
Reis Da Silva J.
6-26-4
Rodesch C.
Harris B.[15]
6-36-4
Klein L.[28]
Piros Z.
6-46-4
Gea A.
Kolar Z.
6-26-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Guillen Meza A.
7-56-3
Damm M.
Onclin G.
6-33-66-4
Vallejo A.[30]
Pacheco Mendez R.
6-16-2
Zeppieri G.
Added D.
6-36-3
Riedi L.
Choinski J.[11]
6-36-4
Rodionov J.
Ficovich J.
7-56-3
Mcdonald M.[6]
Popko D.
6-746-47-5
Sweeny D.
Pellegrino A.[26]
6-24-66-3
Blockx A.[7]
Cecchinato M.
6-36-4
Kym J.
Prado Angelo J.
6-36-0
Van Assche L.
Echargui M.[22]
6-46-4
Landaluce M.
Tseng C.[10]
7-56-3
Sachko V.
Durasovic V.
6-37-61
Moller E.[9]
Polmans M.
6-47-66
Sakamoto R.
Evans D.
6-16-2
Zheng M.
Hewitt C.
6-36-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Bernet H.
3-66-37-63
Trungelliti M.[18]
Sekulic P.
6-21-66-1
Barrios Vera T.[4]
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
6-27-66
Holt B.[5]
Neumayer L.
4-66-26-3
Wu Y.
Krueger M.
7-56-4
Cina F.
Harris L.
6-46-746-3
Ymer E.
Bolt A.
7-647-65
Herbert P.
Den Ouden G.
3-66-36-2
Smith C.[32]
Pavlovic L.
7-646-1
Faria J.
Mikrut L.
7-627-5
Carballes Baena R.[16]
Bouquier A.
6-26-2
Fery A.
Winter E.
6-26-4
Travaglia S.
Ellis B.
6-34-66-1
Merida Aguilar D.
Crawford O.
6-32-66-3
Kubler J.
Mayot H.
6-36-4
Mejia N.
Virtanen O.[12]
6-33-66-4
Nishioka Y.[8]
Fatic N.
6-16-2
Bailly G.
Pinnington Jones J.
6-46-4
Bueno G.
Basilashvili N.[3]
6-17-65
Maestrelli F.[24]
Giustino L.
7-646-1
Heide G.
Clarke J.
6-36-3
Tomic B.
Dellien H.[25]
6-36-3