Sloane Stephens vs Lucia Bronzetti — Australian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
Sloane Stephens
USA
Sloane Stephens
#317WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Lucia Bronzetti
ITA
Lucia Bronzetti
#125WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Stephens S.
6-1 7-5
Bronzetti L.
Stephens S.
672
Bronzetti L.
15–

Sloane Stephens defeated Lucia Bronzetti 6-1 7-5 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lucia Bronzetti came in ranked #125, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Sloane Stephens claimed a first win over Lucia Bronzetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sloane Stephens came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-22RabatSFclayLucia Bronzetti6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Stephens S.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Bronzetti L.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Stephens S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stephens S.Bronzetti L.
—
Serve
12
—
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Stephens S.Bronzetti L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stephens S.Bronzetti L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
55
Break points saved·Even
78
74
Break points won·Slight edge
90
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
55
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
74
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stephens S.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Bronzetti L.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+79 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1551
6.7Overall Elo 1683
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1622
5.0
H2H
5.0
0.0
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 12
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stephens S.Bronzetti L.
Freshness·
—
100

Bronzetti L.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q3
Bai Z.
Vidmanova D.
4-66-46-1
Stephens S.
Bronzetti L.
6-17-5
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Kalieva E.
7-54-66-4
Yuan Y.
Zidansek T.
6-36-1
Sonmez Z.
Gasanova A.
6-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Tomova V.
7-636-2
Sakatsume H.
Bassols Ribera M.
4-67-646-4
Sasnovich A.
Snigur D.
6-20-66-2
Stakusic M.
Zhu L.
7-56-4
Kalinina A.
Chwalinska M.
5-76-26-1
Hunter S.
Townsend T.
7-666-2
Klimovicova L.
Minnen G.
6-46-4
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
6-36-0
Inglis M.
Korpatsch T.
6-46-4
Fruhvirtova L.
Lee C.
5-76-26-4
Bartunkova N.
Osuigwe W.
6-16-0
Q2
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Prozorova T.
6-22-67-67
Tararudee L.
Dart H.
6-03-66-3
Korpatsch T.
Ambrosio S.
6-32-0
Inglis M.
Liu C.
7-662-66-4
Bai Z.
Paquet C.
6-16-2
Vidmanova D.
Salkova D.
7-626-0
Bronzetti L.
Stoiana M.
7-671-66-4
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
3-66-36-3
Kalieva E.
Ma Y.
6-46-2
Zidansek T.
Gjorcheska L.
4-66-27-5
Yuan Y.
Carle M.
7-653-66-4
Sonmez Z.
Riera J.
6-36-1
Gasanova A.
Mikulskyte J.
6-746-26-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Papamichail D.
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Hruncakova V.
6-46-4
Bassols Ribera M.
Shymanovich I.
7-56-1
Sakatsume H.
Hontama M.
6-46-2
Sasnovich A.
Von Deichmann K.
6-37-64
Snigur D.
Branstine C.
6-44-2
Zhu L.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-2
Stakusic M.
Kostovic T.
6-06-2
Chwalinska M.
Masarova R.
7-685-76-1
Kalinina A.
Koevermans A.
7-666-0
Townsend T.
Ortenzi J.
6-46-4
Hunter S.
Radivojevic L.
6-47-61
Minnen G.
Tan H.
7-636-3
Klimovicova L.
Cabrera L.
6-47-5
Tagger L.
Pridankina E.
6-757-656-1
Lee C.
Micic E.
6-26-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Ferro F.
6-43-66-4
Bartunkova N.
Smith T.
1-65-2
Osuigwe W.
Stefanini L.
7-56-2
Q1
Riera J.
Shibahara E.
6-41-66-3
Mikulskyte J.
Rosatello C.
6-36-2
Micic E.
Monnet C.
6-44-66-1
Stakusic M.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-2
Masarova R.
Charaeva A.
6-36-727-65
Chwalinska M.
Brengle M.
7-636-3
Koevermans A.
Kokkinis T.
6-36-3
Kalinina A.
Garland J.
7-56-2
Paquet C.
Mladenovic K.
6-26-736-3
Bai Z.
Korneeva A.
6-46-3
Vidmanova D.
Xu M.
6-32-66-2
Salkova D.
Guo H.
7-56-1
Bronzetti L.
Bolsova A.
6-06-736-1
Stoiana M.
Brancaccio N.
7-54-67-5
Stephens S.
Palicova B.
6-17-5
Gadecki O.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Sherif M.
6-46-3
Prozorova T.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-26-4
Kalieva E.
Wei S.
4-66-23-2
Ma Y.
Lepchenko V.
6-16-3
Gjorcheska L.
Kraus S.
7-56-0
Zidansek T.
Ponchet J.
7-636-3
Carle M.
Iatcenko P.
6-36-3
Yuan Y.
Chirico L.
3-66-16-2
Sonmez Z.
Samson L.
6-26-2
Gasanova A.
Quevedo K.
7-636-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Tubello A.
6-23-66-0
Papamichail D.
Vickery S.
6-37-5
Hruncakova V.
Nahimana S.
6-36-1
Tomova V.
Pera B.
1-66-46-0
Bassols Ribera M.
Giovannini L.
6-27-64
Shymanovich I.
Rodionova A.
7-645-76-4
Sakatsume H.
Leonard M.
6-26-1
Hontama M.
Timofeeva M.
1-66-47-5
Sasnovich A.
Efremova K.
6-36-1
Von Deichmann K.
Alame R.
3-67-56-1
Branstine C.
Sharma A.
7-632-66-3
Snigur D.
Kawa K.
6-12-66-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Cross K.
4-66-47-5
Zhu L.
Pigossi L.
6-46-4
Kostovic T.
Mrdeza T.
6-06-3
Townsend T.
Hibino N.
6-736-07-5
Ortenzi J.
Rame A.
5-76-36-4
Hunter S.
Gorgodze E.
7-56-3
Radivojevic L.
Subasic A.
3-66-16-4
Minnen G.
Jorge F.
6-26-3
Tan H.
Pieri J.
7-642-66-4
Cabrera L.
Knutson G.
7-56-0
Klimovicova L.
Webb S.
6-26-1
Pridankina E.
Parry D.
6-36-2
Tagger L.
Gao X.
3-67-56-3
Dart H.
Aiava D.
6-32-66-3
Tararudee L.
Costoulas S.
6-46-3
Korpatsch T.
Bulgaru M.
6-46-776-2
Ambrosio S.
Sanchez A.
6-16-2
Liu C.
Wurth T.
6-36-4
Inglis M.
Romero Gormaz L.
4-67-646-2
Lee C.
Vandewinkel H.
3-66-36-4
Ferro F.
Ku Y.
6-36-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Friedsam A.
2-66-26-3
Bartunkova N.
Janicijevic S.
6-36-3
Smith T.
Brace C.
7-657-66
Osuigwe W.
Sevastova A.
6-26-0
Stefanini L.
Vedder E.
6-46-2