Martin Damm vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly — Australian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Final
Martin Damm
USA
Martin Damm
#106ATP
1706ELO
1657Hard ELO
$338kYTD
$910kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
BEL
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
#210ATP
1476ELO
1457Hard ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Damm M.
7-5 7-5
Bailly G.
Damm M.
772
Bailly G.
550

Martin Damm defeated Gilles Arnaud Bailly 7-5 7-5 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The result followed the form book — Martin Damm came in ranked #106.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Damm M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bailly G.

Bailly G.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Damm M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Damm M.Bailly G.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Damm M.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Bailly G.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+200 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1457
7.2Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Damm M.Bailly G.
Freshness·Clear edge
91
74

Damm M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bailly G.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%
Q3
Zheng M.
Klein L.[28]
4-66-37-610
Maestrelli F.[24]
Lajovic D.[13]
4-66-46-3
Ymer E.
Wong C.
7-644-66-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[23]
Herbert P.
6-26-3
Jodar R.
Van Assche L.
6-30-66-1
Damm M.
Bailly G.
7-57-5
Gea A.
Vallejo A.[30]
6-26-2
Wu Y.
Boyer T.
6-36-2
Sakamoto R.
Zeppieri G.
6-26-2
Sweeny D.
Travaglia S.
7-657-63
Svajda Z.[29]
Coppejans K.
7-656-2
Faria J.
Trungelliti M.[18]
7-656-3
Kubler J.
Blockx A.[7]
3-66-31-0
Fery A.
Prizmic D.[14]
6-46-1
Basavareddy N.
Loffhagen G.
5-76-46-4
Draxl L.[20]
Mcdonald M.[6]
3-67-626-2
Q2
Sakamoto R.
Smith C.[32]
6-46-4
Ymer E.
Moller E.[9]
4-66-47-5
Van Assche L.
Glinka D.
6-36-0
Sweeny D.
Kym J.
6-46-4
Draxl L.[20]
Sachko V.
6-35-77-67
Coppejans K.
Riedi L.
3-66-36-4
Wong C.
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-676-0
Prizmic D.[14]
Heide G.
7-56-2
Boyer T.
Passaro F.[27]
6-746-46-2
Trungelliti M.[18]
Rocha H.
7-54-66-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[23]
Mccabe J.
4-66-37-66
Zheng M.
Barrios Vera T.[4]
6-46-756-2
Svajda Z.[29]
Rodionov J.
6-16-4
Zeppieri G.
Holt B.[5]
6-747-56-4
Maestrelli F.[24]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-626-4
Basavareddy N.
Ofner S.[19]
4-66-47-611
Vallejo A.[30]
Cina F.
4-66-26-3
Fery A.
Tomic B.
6-46-2
Bailly G.
Carballes Baena R.[16]
7-646-736-2
Damm M.
Droguet T.
6-46-3
Gea A.
Burruchaga R.[2]
6-26-3
Blockx A.[7]
Molcan A.
6-16-1
Wu Y.
Mejia N.
6-46-4
Faria J.
Hassan B.
6-36-4
Mcdonald M.[6]
Grenier H.
7-646-1
Kubler J.
Gaubas V.[17]
7-56-2
Loffhagen G.
Nishioka Y.[8]
6-33-1
Herbert P.
Bueno G.
7-56-2
Lajovic D.[13]
Cassone M.
7-56-3
Jodar R.
Rodesch C.
7-6106-3
Klein L.[28]
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-726-4
Travaglia S.
Landaluce M.
4-66-16-4
Q1
Basavareddy N.
Galarneau A.
6-46-2
Droguet T.
Jarry N.[21]
6-46-3
Boyer T.
Barrena A.
6-26-746-2
Hassan B.
Dodig M.
5-76-36-2
Ofner S.[19]
Holmgren A.
6-46-4
Svajda Z.[29]
Habib H.
6-16-3
Wong C.
Blanchet U.[31]
6-37-66
Gaubas V.[17]
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-56-3
Cassone M.
Hsu Y.
3-66-36-4
Molcan A.
Shimabukuro S.
6-44-66-3
Prizmic D.[14]
Olivieri G.
6-16-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[23]
Watanuki Y.
6-757-56-4
Jodar R.
Tu L.
6-26-1
Lajovic D.[13]
Diaz Acosta F.
7-635-77-63
Loffhagen G.
Engel J.
7-647-62
Mccabe J.
Marinkov P.
6-27-65
Passaro F.[27]
Lajal M.
7-646-4
Burruchaga R.[2]
Peniston R.
6-16-1
Coppejans K.
Jasika O.
7-626-0
Grenier H.
Galan D.
7-691-0
Draxl L.[20]
Bouzige M.
7-636-3
Glinka D.
Tabur C.
5-76-36-4
Rocha H.
Reis Da Silva J.
6-26-4
Rodesch C.
Harris B.[15]
6-36-4
Klein L.[28]
Piros Z.
6-46-4
Gea A.
Kolar Z.
6-26-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Guillen Meza A.
7-56-3
Damm M.
Onclin G.
6-33-66-4
Vallejo A.[30]
Pacheco Mendez R.
6-16-2
Zeppieri G.
Added D.
6-36-3
Riedi L.
Choinski J.[11]
6-36-4
Rodionov J.
Ficovich J.
7-56-3
Mcdonald M.[6]
Popko D.
6-746-47-5
Sweeny D.
Pellegrino A.[26]
6-24-66-3
Blockx A.[7]
Cecchinato M.
6-36-4
Kym J.
Prado Angelo J.
6-36-0
Van Assche L.
Echargui M.[22]
6-46-4
Landaluce M.
Tseng C.[10]
7-56-3
Sachko V.
Durasovic V.
6-37-61
Moller E.[9]
Polmans M.
6-47-66
Sakamoto R.
Evans D.
6-16-2
Zheng M.
Hewitt C.
6-36-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Bernet H.
3-66-37-63
Trungelliti M.[18]
Sekulic P.
6-21-66-1
Barrios Vera T.[4]
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
6-27-66
Holt B.[5]
Neumayer L.
4-66-26-3
Wu Y.
Krueger M.
7-56-4
Cina F.
Harris L.
6-46-746-3
Ymer E.
Bolt A.
7-647-65
Herbert P.
Den Ouden G.
3-66-36-2
Smith C.[32]
Pavlovic L.
7-646-1
Faria J.
Mikrut L.
7-627-5
Carballes Baena R.[16]
Bouquier A.
6-26-2
Fery A.
Winter E.
6-26-4
Travaglia S.
Ellis B.
6-34-66-1
Merida Aguilar D.
Crawford O.
6-32-66-3
Kubler J.
Mayot H.
6-36-4
Mejia N.
Virtanen O.[12]
6-33-66-4
Nishioka Y.[8]
Fatic N.
6-16-2
Bailly G.
Pinnington Jones J.
6-46-4
Bueno G.
Basilashvili N.[3]
6-17-65
Maestrelli F.[24]
Giustino L.
7-646-1
Heide G.
Clarke J.
6-36-3
Tomic B.
Dellien H.[25]
6-36-3