Mark Lajal vs Daniel Merida AguilarOeiras 1 CH Round of 32

Oeiras 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#164ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
$97kYTD
$654kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
1744ELO
1676Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Lajal M.
6-2 6-2
Merida Aguilar D.
Lajal M.
662
Merida Aguilar D.
220

Mark Lajal defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-2 6-2 in the Oeiras 1 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Lajal M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Lajal M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
55
Break points saved·Dominant
89
64
Break points won·Dominant
13
46
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1556
Surface ELO
6.9+119 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1589
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
90

Lajal M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast