Kamilla Rakhimova vs Shuai ZhangAdelaide Qualifying Round 1

Adelaide · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#78WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#54WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Rakhimova K.
7-5 5-7 6-4
Zhang S.
Rakhimova K.
7562
Zhang S.
5741

Kamilla Rakhimova defeated Shuai Zhang 7-5 5-7 6-4 in the Adelaide qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shuai Zhang came in ranked #54, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Kamilla Rakhimova claimed a first win over Shuai Zhang in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-21GuangzhouR32hardShuai Zhang6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Zhang S.

Zhang S.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rakhimova K.Zhang S.
4
Serve
17
42
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
47
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
55
Break points won·Slight edge
91
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
62
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1671
Surface ELO
5.2+24 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1718
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.6
Surface form
7.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
99

Rakhimova K.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Zhang S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast