Emilio Nava vs Jan Lennard StruffAuckland Qualifying Round 2

Auckland · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#91ATP
1704ELO
1621Hard ELO
$533kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#41ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Nava E.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Struff J.
Nava E.
3662
Struff J.
6431

Emilio Nava defeated Jan Lennard Struff 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Auckland qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Lennard Struff came in ranked #41, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nava E.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nava E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nava E.Struff J.
39
Serve
36
21
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
61%
Aces / match·Even
7.4
7.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Even
17
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
89
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1621
Surface ELO
5.2+13 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
64

Nava E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Struff J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 64%