Aleksandar Vukic vs Luca NardiAdelaide Qualifying Round 1

Adelaide · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Vukic A.
6-7 6-3 6-2
Nardi L.
Vukic A.
64662
Nardi L.
77321

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Luca Nardi 6-7 6-3 6-2 in the Adelaide qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aleksandar Vukic came in ranked #104, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Nardi L.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve advantage — Nardi L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Nardi L.
21
Serve
7
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
32
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
92
Break points won·Even
16
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9+25 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Hard Elo 1572
4.8Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1585
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.7
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
86

Vukic A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Nardi L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 32%