Eliot Spizzirri vs Adrian MannarinoAuckland Round of 32

Auckland · ATP · Round of 32
#97ATP
1796ELO
1765Hard ELO
$385kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Spizzirri E.
6-4 6-3
Mannarino A.
Spizzirri E.
662
Mannarino A.
430

Eliot Spizzirri defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-4 6-3 in the Auckland round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Spizzirri E.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Spizzirri E.

Serve advantage — Spizzirri E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Spizzirri E.Mannarino A.
54
Serve
37
63
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.4
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
68
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
96
Break points won·Dominant
34
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+118 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1647
6.8Overall Elo 1796
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
3.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
69

Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 64%