Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian KordaAdelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 32
#491ATP
30 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Kokkinakis T.
3-6 6-3 7-6
Korda S.
Kokkinakis T.
36772
Korda S.
63631

Thanasi Kokkinakis defeated Sebastian Korda 3-6 6-3 7-6 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's final. Thanasi Kokkinakis claimed a first win over Sebastian Korda in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29WashingtonR16hardSebastian Korda6-7(1) 7-5 3-2 RET
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR128hardSebastian Korda6-3 6-4
2022-02-14Delray BeachR32hardSebastian Korda6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kokkinakis T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kokkinakis T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kokkinakis T.Korda S.
Serve
61
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
83%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
71%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.5
9.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
87
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
15
73
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Even
94
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 364 days (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
7.1
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
Prev. match
8.0
7.2
Country comfort
5.8
Context
7.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Kokkinakis T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 32%