Milos Karol vs Maks KasnikowskiGlasgow CH Qualifying Round 2

Glasgow CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#445ATP
1393ELO
1333Hard ELO
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#284ATP
1400ELO
1369Hard ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Karol M.
7-6 2-6 6-1
Kasnikowski M.
Karol M.
79262
Kasnikowski M.
67611

Milos Karol defeated Maks Kasnikowski 7-6 2-6 6-1 in the Glasgow CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maks Kasnikowski came in ranked #284, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Milos Karol came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 2–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Karol M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kasnikowski M.

Kasnikowski M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Karol M.

Serve advantage — Kasnikowski M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
11
14
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
56
Break points won·Slight edge
7
16
Deciding sets·Even
18
19
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1333
Surface ELO
5.6+36 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1393
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
49

Kasnikowski M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 114 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast