Maximus Jones vs Rio NoguchiNonthaburi 2 CH Semi-final

Nonthaburi 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#419ATP
1348ELO
1322Hard ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#222ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLWL
Jones M.
4-6 6-1 6-2
Noguchi R.
Jones M.
4662
Noguchi R.
6121

Maximus Jones defeated Rio Noguchi 4-6 6-1 6-2 in the Nonthaburi 2 CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rio Noguchi came in ranked #222, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jones M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Noguchi R.

Noguchi R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jones M.

Serve advantage — Noguchi R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1322
Surface ELO
7.5+191 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1348
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1532
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
2.3
Surface form
10.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
10.011-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Noguchi R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast