Rebecca Sramkova vs Varvara GrachevaHobart Round of 32

Hobart · WTA · Round of 32
#139WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Sramkova R.
6-4 4-6 6-2
Gracheva V.
Sramkova R.
6462
Gracheva V.
4621

Rebecca Sramkova defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the Hobart round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Rebecca Sramkova claimed a first win over Varvara Gracheva in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiR64hardVarvara Gracheva7-5 1-6 6-4
2025-06-23EastbourneR16grassVarvara Gracheva7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sramkova R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sramkova R.Gracheva V.
17
Serve
3
33
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
73
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
76
Break points won·Even
84
87
Deciding sets·Even
86
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
51
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1629
Surface ELO
6.5+134 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1810
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Sramkova R.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 54%