Marcos Giron vs Alex MichelsenAuckland Round of 16

Auckland · ATP · Round of 16
#92ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Giron M.
6-4 6-4
Michelsen A.
Giron M.
662
Michelsen A.
440

Marcos Giron defeated Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-4 in the Auckland round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, defending last year's quarter-final. Marcos Giron extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Marcos Giron edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-21ViennaR32hardMarcos Giron7-6(4) 6-3
2024-07-15NewportFgrassMarcos Giron6-7(4) 6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Giron M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Giron M.Michelsen A.
29
Serve
34
45
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
78
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
42
46
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
5.9+106 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1825
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.2
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
5.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
61

Giron M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 64%