Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Shintaro MochizukiAuckland Qualifying Round 1

Auckland · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#45ATP
1790ELO
1658Hard ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Cerundolo J.
6-4 6-7 6-2
Mochizuki S.
Cerundolo J.
66362
Mochizuki S.
47721

Juan Manuel Cerundolo defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-4 6-7 6-2 in the Auckland qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Juan Manuel Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AucklandQ1hardJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-4 6-7(3) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Serve advantage — Cerundolo J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
52%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
74
Break points won·Dominant
80
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
46
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+232 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1425
7.3Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1475
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
83

Cerundolo J.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mochizuki S.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast