Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliAuckland Round of 32

Auckland · ATP · Round of 32
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#59ATP
1759ELO
1642Hard ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Tabilo A.
6-4 6-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Tabilo A.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
420

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-2 in the Auckland round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #33, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve advantage — Tabilo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tabilo A.Ugo Carabelli C.
51
Serve
0
10
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
74
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
90
Break points won·Even
59
62
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
56
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+108 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1642
6.1Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
2.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
9.1
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
97

Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 64%