Jakub Mensik vs Sebastian BaezAuckland Final

Auckland · ATP · Final
#19ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#56ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Mensik J.
6-3 7-6
Baez S.
Mensik J.
6792
Baez S.
3670

Jakub Mensik defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 7-6 in the Auckland final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #19, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Mensik closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mensik J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mensik J.Baez S.
42
Serve
5
51
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
78%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.7
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Slight edge
77
86
Deciding sets·Even
92
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+184 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1709
7.4Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
96

Mensik J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 64%