Sebastian Baez vs Marcos GironAuckland Semi-final

Auckland · ATP · Semi-final
#56ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#87ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
Baez S.
6-1 6-4
Giron M.
Baez S.
662
Giron M.
140

Sebastian Baez defeated Marcos Giron 6-1 6-4 in the Auckland semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardSebastian Baez6-4 5-7 7-6(6)
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR64claySebastian Baez3-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Giron M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Serve advantage — Giron M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Baez S.Giron M.
5
Serve
29
63
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
62
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
86
42
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
56
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6+4 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Hard Elo 1704
4.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1718
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.5
Surface form
6.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Baez S.: 15 days rest · Giron M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 64%