Yue Yuan vs Hanne VandewinkelCanberra 125 Round of 32

Canberra 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#121WTA
1629ELO
1610Hard ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#103WTA
1690ELO
1730Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLL
Yuan Y.
6-3 6-4
Vandewinkel H.
Yuan Y.
662
Vandewinkel H.
34

Yue Yuan defeated Hanne Vandewinkel 6-3 6-4 in the Canberra 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hanne Vandewinkel came in ranked #103.

Key context

  • Match story: Yue Yuan closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Yuan Y.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Vandewinkel H.

Vandewinkel H.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yuan Y.Vandewinkel H.
30
Serve
35
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
70
Break points won·Clear edge
77
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
93
Tiebreaks·
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1610
Surface ELO
6.6+120 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1629
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1690
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Vandewinkel H.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast