Himeno Sakatsume vs Mayar SherifCanberra 125 Round of 16

Canberra 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#123WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#109WTA
1685ELO
1505Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
Sakatsume H.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Sherif M.
Sakatsume H.
6362
Sherif M.
3631

Himeno Sakatsume defeated Mayar Sherif 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Canberra 125 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mayar Sherif came in ranked #109, but Himeno Sakatsume had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakatsume H.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Sherif M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sakatsume H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
78%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
62
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
64
84
Break points won·Clear edge
97
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
62
51
Tiebreaks·
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.8+94 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1505
5.4Overall Elo 1611
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1685
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
1.5
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
74

Sakatsume H.: 18 days rest · Sherif M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast