Toby Samuel vs Carl Emil Overbeck — Nottingham CH Round of 32

Nottingham CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GBR3
Toby Samuel
#123ATP
1745ELO
1595Grass ELO
$175kYTD
$290kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
grass
DEN
Carl Emil Overbeck
#430ATP
1293ELO
1347Grass ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
Samuel T.
6-2 6-4
Overbeck C.
Samuel T.
662
Overbeck C.
240

Toby Samuel defeated Carl Emil Overbeck 6-2 6-4 in the Nottingham CH round of 32 on grass. The result followed the form book — Toby Samuel came in ranked #123.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Samuel T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Overbeck C.

Overbeck C.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Samuel T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Samuel T.Overbeck C.
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Samuel T.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Overbeck C.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.7+248 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Grass Elo 1347
10.0Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1293
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
10.013-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Samuel T.Overbeck C.
Freshness·
88
—

Samuel T.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Chidekh C.[2]
Monday J.[1]
5-76-27-65
Semi-finals
Monday J.[1]
Kukushkin M.
6-46-2
Chidekh C.[2]
Samuel T.[3]
6-35-76-3
Quarter-finals
Kukushkin M.
Kingsley C.
6-27-5
Samuel T.[3]
Kozlov S.[7]
7-616-4
Chidekh C.[2]
Broom C.
6-36-2
Monday J.[1]
Gentzsch T.[8]
6-16-3
R16
Monday J.[1]
Hussey G.
6-16-2
Gentzsch T.[8]
Krumich M.
4-66-37-63
Kukushkin M.
Negritu C.
6-26-1
Kingsley C.
Gray A.[6]
6-44-66-1
Kozlov S.[7]
Erhard M.
6-26-4
Broom C.
Ritschard A.
6-46-2
Chidekh C.[2]
Jubb P.
6-26-3
Samuel T.[3]
Broady L.
6-36-3
R32
Hussey G.
Guerrieri A.
6-46-4
Monday J.[1]
Maxted L.
4-67-656-4
Krumich M.
Kopp S.
6-16-2
Gentzsch T.[8]
Brunold M.
6-796-46-4
Negritu C.
Kuzmanov D.[4]
6-41-67-5
Kukushkin M.
Malige M.
6-36-0
Kingsley C.
Searle H.
6-46-1
Gray A.[6]
Gombos N.
6-13-66-1
Kozlov S.[7]
Zink T.
6-46-1
Erhard M.
Strombachs R.
7-653-67-65
Broady L.
Masur D.
6-34-66-3
Samuel T.[3]
Overbeck C.
6-26-4
Ritschard A.
Pereira T.[5]
7-656-1
Broom C.
Wendelken H.
7-56-3
Jubb P.
Soriano Barrera A.
6-36-737-64
Chidekh C.[2]
Matusevich A.
6-736-46-0