Naomi Osaka vs Katie Swan — United Cup Round Robin

United Cup · WTA · Round Robin
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Katie Swan
GBR
Katie Swan
#196WTA
1554ELO
1477Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Osaka N.
7-6 6-1
Swan K.
Osaka N.
7762
Swan K.
6410

Naomi Osaka defeated Katie Swan 7-6 6-1 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14.

Key context

  • Match story: Naomi Osaka came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Swan K.

Swan K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Swan K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Swan K.
70
Serve
—
60
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Osaka N.Swan K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Osaka N.Swan K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
49
Break points saved·Dominant
96
56
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
46
Tiebreaks·
95
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Osaka N.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 84 days (−1.2)
Swan K.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
10.0+444 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1477
10.0Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1554
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Osaka N.Swan K.
Freshness·Clear edge
82
96

Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Swan K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Bencic B.
Swiatek I.
3-66-06-3
Semi-finals
Gauff C.
Swiatek I.
6-46-2
Bencic B.
Mertens E.
6-34-67-60
Quarter-finals
Mertens E.
Krejcikova B.
5-76-17-5
Gauff C.
Sakkari M.
6-36-2
Bencic B.
Sierra S.
6-26-2
Swiatek I.
Joint M.
6-16-1
Round Robin
Gauff C.
Sierra S.
6-16-1
Krejcikova B.
Helgo M.
6-46-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Gauff C.
6-16-736-0
Swiatek I.
Lys E.
3-66-36-4
Sakkari M.
Raducanu E.
6-33-66-1
Sakkari M.
Osaka N.
6-46-2
Lys E.
Lamens S.
6-26-2
Mboko V.
Zhu L.
2-66-26-0
Swiatek I.
Lamens S.
6-36-2
Mertens E.
Mboko V.
6-33-66-3
Krejcikova B.
Joint M.
6-46-1
Mertens E.
Zhu L.
6-26-2
Hunter S.
Helgo M.
6-27-63
Bencic B.
Paolini J.
6-46-3
Paolini J.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-3
Osaka N.
Swan K.
7-646-1
Sierra S.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-45-76-0
Bencic B.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4