Chris Rodesch vs Alex Molcan — Canberra CH Qualifying Round 1

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
LUX
Chris Rodesch
#173ATP
1622ELO
1623Hard ELO
$163kYTD
$424kCAREER
24 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Alex Molcan
SVK12
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1742ELO
1653Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Rodesch C.
7-6 3-6 7-5
Molcan A.
Rodesch C.
77372
Molcan A.
62651

Chris Rodesch defeated Alex Molcan 7-6 3-6 7-5 in the Canberra CH qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101.

Key context

  • Match story: Chris Rodesch closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rodesch C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rodesch C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Rodesch C.Molcan A.
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rodesch C.Molcan A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
79
Break points saved·Even
87
90
Break points won·Dominant
5
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
74
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rodesch C.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Molcan A.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1623
Surface ELO
5.1+29 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1742
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rodesch C.Molcan A.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Rodesch C.: 17 days rest · Molcan A.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Q2
Cassone M.
Krueger M.
7-646-2
Neumayer L.
Grenier H.[7]
6-26-4
Jodar R.[3]
Fery A.[9]
6-33-2
Mejia N.[4]
Gueymard Wayenburg S.[10]
6-726-47-5
Pinnington Jones J.[11]
Polmans M.
6-14-67-68
Rodesch C.
Damm M.[6]
7-656-3
Q1
Krueger M.
Watanuki Y.[1]
3-66-26-3
Cassone M.
Boyer T.[8]
0-67-646-0
Neumayer L.
Mikrut L.[2]
6-43-66-3
Grenier H.[7]
Loffhagen G.
7-54-66-0
Jodar R.[3]
Marinkov P.
6-46-3
Fery A.[9]
Jovanovski D.
3-66-46-0
Mejia N.[4]
Habib H.
7-666-2
Gueymard Wayenburg S.[10]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-45-76-3
Polmans M.
Bolt A.[5]
7-647-5
Pinnington Jones J.[11]
Bailly G.
0-66-16-4
Damm M.[6]
Ibraimi Y.
7-56-4
Rodesch C.
Molcan A.[12]
7-623-67-5