Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Shintaro MochizukiUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Tsitsipas S.
6-3 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Tsitsipas S.
662
Mochizuki S.
340

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-4 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Stefanos Tsitsipas came in ranked #87, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Stefanos Tsitsipas extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardStefanos Tsitsipas4-6 6-3 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve advantage — Tsitsipas S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.Mochizuki S.
57
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
52%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Clear edge
68%
56%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
6.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
52
Break points saved·Dominant
100
74
Break points won·Clear edge
77
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
46
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 114 days (−1.5)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
9.7+377 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Hard Elo 1425
9.4Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1475
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
77

Tsitsipas S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mochizuki S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%