Rafael Jodar vs Sho ShimabukuroCanberra CH Quarter-final

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#26ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#90ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Jodar R.
6-2 6-4
Shimabukuro S.
Jodar R.
662
Shimabukuro S.
240

Rafael Jodar defeated Sho Shimabukuro 6-2 6-4 in the Canberra CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #26.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Shimabukuro S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Shimabukuro S.
18
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
42
Break points saved·Even
91
88
Break points won·Dominant
71
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 56 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
8.6+267 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1606
9.6Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.4Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.1
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
93

Jodar R.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Shimabukuro S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast