Joanna Garland vs Polina Kudermetova — Canberra 125 Final

Canberra 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
TPE
Joanna Garland
#189WTA
1536ELO
1546Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Polina Kudermetova
UZB
Polina Kudermetova
#113WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Garland J.
6-4 6-2
Kudermetova P.
Garland J.
662
Kudermetova P.
42–

Joanna Garland defeated Polina Kudermetova 6-4 6-2 in the Canberra 125 final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Polina Kudermetova came in ranked #113.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Garland J.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kudermetova P.

Kudermetova P.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Garland J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Garland J.Kudermetova P.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Garland J.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Kudermetova P.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1546
Surface ELO
5.6+101 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1536
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1727
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Garland J.Kudermetova P.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
91

Garland J.: 17 days rest · Kudermetova P.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Garland J.
Kudermetova P.
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Garland J.
Snigur D.
7-636-3
Kudermetova P.
Sakatsume H.
7-56-2
Quarter-finals
Garland J.
Zidansek T.
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Yuan Y.
6-16-0
Sakatsume H.
Gorgodze E.
3-66-26-0
Snigur D.
Waltert S.
6-26-4
R16
Garland J.
Iatcenko P.
3-3
Zidansek T.
Tararudee L.
7-652-66-3
Sakatsume H.
Sherif M.
6-33-66-3
Gorgodze E.
Uchijima M.
6-46-1
Waltert S.
Vidmanova D.
3-67-56-3
Snigur D.
Liang E.
6-46-2
Yuan Y.
Prozorova T.
6-46-3
Kudermetova P.
Radivojevic L.
6-37-61
R32
Liang E.
Stefanini L.
7-656-1
Zidansek T.
Bronzetti L.
6-26-746-3
Tararudee L.
Smith T.
6-26-2
Garland J.
Parry D.
5-76-46-2
Yuan Y.
Vandewinkel H.
6-36-4
Prozorova T.
Bartunkova N.
6-16-2
Sherif M.
Micic E.
6-43-67-5
Sakatsume H.
Kokkinis T.
7-56-2
Waltert S.
Salkova D.
6-727-606-2
Vidmanova D.
Stakusic M.
6-36-2
Snigur D.
Korpatsch T.
6-46-0
Iatcenko P.
Aiava D.
6-756-36-3
Radivojevic L.
Kostovic T.
6-46-4
Kudermetova P.
Korneeva A.
6-26-3
Gorgodze E.
Kalieva E.
6-26-727-63
Uchijima M.
Brengle M.
6-46-4