Blake Ellis vs Bernard Tomic — Noumea CH Quarter-final

Noumea CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
AUS
Blake Ellis
#472ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Bernard Tomic
AUS8
Bernard Tomic
#206ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Ellis B.
7-6 3-6 6-4
Tomic B.
Ellis B.
77362
Tomic B.
64641

Blake Ellis defeated Bernard Tomic 7-6 3-6 6-4 in the Noumea CH quarter-final on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Blake Ellis closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ellis B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Tomic B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ellis B.Tomic B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
32%
36%
Break points saved·Even
69%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.4
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ellis B.Tomic B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
41
53
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
92
Break points won·Even
3
4
Deciding sets·Even
78
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
37
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ellis B.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Tomic B.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1390
Surface ELO
5.4+51 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ellis B.Tomic B.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
84

Ellis B.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tomic B.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Gea A.
Rodionov J.[5]
6-34-67-5
Semi-finals
Rodionov J.[5]
Ellis B.
6-46-756-3
Gea A.
Zheng M.[6]
4-66-16-4
Quarter-finals
Ellis B.
Tomic B.[8]
7-643-66-4
Rodionov J.[5]
Thompson J.[1]
6-46-4
Zheng M.[6]
Tabur C.
3-66-46-2
Gea A.
Draxl L.[2]
6-36-2
R16
Tomic B.[8]
Watt J.
6-43-64-1
Zheng M.[6]
Added D.
6-26-1
Tabur C.
Droguet T.[3]
6-746-46-4
Draxl L.[2]
Bouzige M.
6-46-2
Thompson J.[1]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-46-3
Rodionov J.[5]
Langmo C.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Ilagan A.
7-657-64
Gea A.
Diaz Acosta F.
7-656-3
R32
Thompson J.[1]
Hudd E.
6-37-65
Added D.
Sinclair C.
6-36-746-2
Tabur C.
Seyboth Wild T.
4-66-16-4
Droguet T.[3]
Onclin G.
6-36-2
Gea A.
Barrena A.[7]
6-46-0
Bouzige M.
Peniston R.
4-67-696-4
Draxl L.[2]
Heide G.
7-653-66-3
Rodionov J.[5]
Bernet H.
6-43-66-0
Ellis B.
Herbert P.[4]
7-54-66-4
Moreno De Alboran N.
Chazal M.
6-47-66
Langmo C.
Ogura K.
6-46-4
Tomic B.[8]
Glinka D.
6-46-3
Diaz Acosta F.
Dussin L.
6-26-3
Ilagan A.
Delaney J.
6-46-757-66
Watt J.
Vithoontien L.
7-656-1
Zheng M.[6]
Jasika O.
6-46-2