Jurij Rodionov vs Blake Ellis — Noumea CH Semi-final

Noumea CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Jurij Rodionov
AUT5
Jurij Rodionov
#142ATP
1636ELO
1584Hard ELO
$205kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
AUS
Blake Ellis
#502ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
Rodionov J.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Ellis B.
Rodionov J.
66562
Ellis B.
47731

Jurij Rodionov defeated Blake Ellis 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Noumea CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jurij Rodionov came in ranked #142.

Key context

  • Match story: Jurij Rodionov closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rodionov J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Ellis B.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rodionov J.

Serve advantage — Rodionov J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Rodionov J.Ellis B.
1st serve in·Even
59%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
10.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rodionov J.Ellis B.
Clutch Rating·Even
41
41
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
79
Break points won·Clear edge
17
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
49
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
54
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rodionov J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 47 days (−0.7)
Ellis B.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.6+193 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1390
6.7Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1416
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
4.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rodionov J.Ellis B.
Freshness·Slight edge
98
89

Rodionov J.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ellis B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Gea A.
Rodionov J.[5]
6-34-67-5
Semi-finals
Rodionov J.[5]
Ellis B.
6-46-756-3
Gea A.
Zheng M.[6]
4-66-16-4
Quarter-finals
Ellis B.
Tomic B.[8]
7-643-66-4
Rodionov J.[5]
Thompson J.[1]
6-46-4
Zheng M.[6]
Tabur C.
3-66-46-2
Gea A.
Draxl L.[2]
6-36-2
R16
Tomic B.[8]
Watt J.
6-43-64-1
Zheng M.[6]
Added D.
6-26-1
Tabur C.
Droguet T.[3]
6-746-46-4
Draxl L.[2]
Bouzige M.
6-46-2
Thompson J.[1]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-46-3
Rodionov J.[5]
Langmo C.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Ilagan A.
7-657-64
Gea A.
Diaz Acosta F.
7-656-3
R32
Thompson J.[1]
Hudd E.
6-37-65
Added D.
Sinclair C.
6-36-746-2
Tabur C.
Seyboth Wild T.
4-66-16-4
Droguet T.[3]
Onclin G.
6-36-2
Gea A.
Barrena A.[7]
6-46-0
Bouzige M.
Peniston R.
4-67-696-4
Draxl L.[2]
Heide G.
7-653-66-3
Rodionov J.[5]
Bernet H.
6-43-66-0
Ellis B.
Herbert P.[4]
7-54-66-4
Moreno De Alboran N.
Chazal M.
6-47-66
Langmo C.
Ogura K.
6-46-4
Tomic B.[8]
Glinka D.
6-46-3
Diaz Acosta F.
Dussin L.
6-26-3
Ilagan A.
Delaney J.
6-46-757-66
Watt J.
Vithoontien L.
7-656-1
Zheng M.[6]
Jasika O.
6-46-2