Blake Ellis vs Andre Ilagan — Noumea CH Round of 16

Noumea CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
AUS
Blake Ellis
#502ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
USA
Andre Ilagan
#263ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWW
Ellis B.
7-6 7-6
Ilagan A.
Ellis B.
77772
Ilagan A.
65640

Blake Ellis defeated Andre Ilagan 7-6 7-6 in the Noumea CH round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ellis B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ilagan A.

Ilagan A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Serve advantage — Ilagan A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ellis B.Ilagan A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Even
67%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.2
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ellis B.Ilagan A.
Clutch Rating·Even
41
37
Break points saved·Even
79
76
Break points won·Clear edge
3
17
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
71
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
38
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ellis B.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Ilagan A.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.3Hard Elo 1390
Surface ELO
4.7+128 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1543
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ellis B.Ilagan A.
Freshness·Dominant
87
58

Ellis B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Ilagan A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Gea A.
Rodionov J.[5]
6-34-67-5
Semi-finals
Rodionov J.[5]
Ellis B.
6-46-756-3
Gea A.
Zheng M.[6]
4-66-16-4
Quarter-finals
Ellis B.
Tomic B.[8]
7-643-66-4
Rodionov J.[5]
Thompson J.[1]
6-46-4
Zheng M.[6]
Tabur C.
3-66-46-2
Gea A.
Draxl L.[2]
6-36-2
R16
Tomic B.[8]
Watt J.
6-43-64-1
Zheng M.[6]
Added D.
6-26-1
Tabur C.
Droguet T.[3]
6-746-46-4
Draxl L.[2]
Bouzige M.
6-46-2
Thompson J.[1]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-46-3
Rodionov J.[5]
Langmo C.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Ilagan A.
7-657-64
Gea A.
Diaz Acosta F.
7-656-3
R32
Thompson J.[1]
Hudd E.
6-37-65
Added D.
Sinclair C.
6-36-746-2
Tabur C.
Seyboth Wild T.
4-66-16-4
Droguet T.[3]
Onclin G.
6-36-2
Gea A.
Barrena A.[7]
6-46-0
Bouzige M.
Peniston R.
4-67-696-4
Draxl L.[2]
Heide G.
7-653-66-3
Rodionov J.[5]
Bernet H.
6-43-66-0
Ellis B.
Herbert P.[4]
7-54-66-4
Moreno De Alboran N.
Chazal M.
6-47-66
Langmo C.
Ogura K.
6-46-4
Tomic B.[8]
Glinka D.
6-46-3
Diaz Acosta F.
Dussin L.
6-26-3
Ilagan A.
Delaney J.
6-46-757-66
Watt J.
Vithoontien L.
7-656-1
Zheng M.[6]
Jasika O.
6-46-2