Blake Ellis vs Pierre Hugues HerbertNoumea CH Round of 32

Noumea CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#502ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#251ATP
1607ELO
1577Hard ELO
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
Ellis B.
7-5 4-6 6-4
Herbert P.
Ellis B.
7462
Herbert P.
5641

Blake Ellis defeated Pierre Hugues Herbert 7-5 4-6 6-4 in the Noumea CH round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ellis B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Herbert P.

Herbert P.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
32%
36%
Break points saved·Even
68%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.0
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
41
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
96
Break points won·Clear edge
3
18
Deciding sets·Even
78
81
Tiebreaks·Even
38
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1390
Surface ELO
6.6+186 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1607
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
71

Ellis B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Herbert P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast