Flavio Cobolli vs Stan WawrinkaUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#109ATP
1678ELO
1664Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
Cobolli F.
6-4 6-7 7-6
Wawrinka S.
Cobolli F.
662772
Wawrinka S.
477641

Flavio Cobolli defeated Stan Wawrinka 6-4 6-7 7-6 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardFlavio Cobolli6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Wawrinka S.

Wawrinka S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Wawrinka S.
20
Serve
48
35
Return
8

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
7.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
65
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Slight edge
35
30
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 43 days (−0.7)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1664
7.6Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1678
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
5.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
92

Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d) · Wawrinka S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%