Alexander Bublik vs Juncheng Shang — Hong Kong Quarter-final

Hong Kong · ATP · Quarter-final
Alexander Bublik
KAZ2
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
CHN
Juncheng Shang
#274ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWL
Bublik A.
6-1 7-6
Shang J.
Bublik A.
6772
Shang J.
1620

Alexander Bublik defeated Juncheng Shang 6-1 7-6 in the Hong Kong quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexander Bublik came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-18ChengduQFhardJuncheng Shang6-4 7-6(8)
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardJuncheng Shang6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 6-4
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardAlexander Bublik6-4 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Shang J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Shang J.
65
Serve
34
25
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Shang J.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
30%
Break points saved·Even
66%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.5
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Shang J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
76
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
67
45
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Shang J.
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 96 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+138 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1698
7.2Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1746
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.0
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Shang J.
Freshness·
55
—

Bublik A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Bublik A.[2]
Musetti L.[1]
7-626-3
Semi-finals
Bublik A.[2]
Giron M.
3-66-46-2
Musetti L.[1]
Rublev A.[3]
6-737-56-4
Quarter-finals
Giron M.
Mmoh M.
6-31-0
Musetti L.[1]
Wong C.
6-46-4
Bublik A.[2]
Shang J.
6-17-62
Rublev A.[3]
Borges N.[8]
6-36-4
R16
Mmoh M.
Khachanov K.[4]
7-627-64
Bublik A.[2]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-3
Wong C.
Diallo G.[6]
1-67-57-5
Shang J.
Sonego L.[5]
6-36-4
Rublev A.[3]
Wu Y.
3-66-26-1
Giron M.
Muller A.[7]
6-47-64
Borges N.[8]
Cilic M.
7-56-3
Musetti L.[1]
Etcheverry T.
6-736-26-4
R32
Giron M.
Djere L.
6-26-0
Diallo G.[6]
De Jong J.
6-47-67
Borges N.[8]
Dzumhur D.
6-46-3
Muller A.[7]
Kecmanovic M.
7-56-4
Mmoh M.
Tabilo A.
7-56-4
Wu Y.
Marozsan F.
6-46-2
Wong C.
Navone M.
6-37-5
Etcheverry T.
Royer V.
6-47-5
Shang J.
Comesana F.
6-46-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-31-66-1
Cilic M.
Mannarino A.
6-36-2
Sonego L.[5]
Sakamoto R.
6-27-64