Marc Polmans vs Alex Bolt — Canberra CH Qualifying Round 1

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Marc Polmans
AUS
Marc Polmans
#344ATP
1449ELO
1414Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Alex Bolt
AUS5
Alex Bolt
#152ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Polmans M.
7-6 7-5
Bolt A.
Polmans M.
7772
Bolt A.
6450

Marc Polmans defeated Alex Bolt 7-6 7-5 in the Canberra CH qualifying round 1 on hard. Marc Polmans extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQ1clayMarc Polmans6-3 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Polmans M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Bolt A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Polmans M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Polmans M.Bolt A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Polmans M.Bolt A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
44
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
93
Break points won·Even
10
7
Deciding sets·Clear edge
31
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
24
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Polmans M.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Bolt A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1414
Surface ELO
6.8+127 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1449
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1588
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.0
Surface form
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Polmans M.Bolt A.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Polmans M.: 18 days rest · Bolt A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Q2
Cassone M.
Krueger M.
7-646-2
Neumayer L.
Grenier H.[7]
6-26-4
Jodar R.[3]
Fery A.[9]
6-33-2
Mejia N.[4]
Gueymard Wayenburg S.[10]
6-726-47-5
Pinnington Jones J.[11]
Polmans M.
6-14-67-68
Rodesch C.
Damm M.[6]
7-656-3
Q1
Krueger M.
Watanuki Y.[1]
3-66-26-3
Cassone M.
Boyer T.[8]
0-67-646-0
Neumayer L.
Mikrut L.[2]
6-43-66-3
Grenier H.[7]
Loffhagen G.
7-54-66-0
Jodar R.[3]
Marinkov P.
6-46-3
Fery A.[9]
Jovanovski D.
3-66-46-0
Mejia N.[4]
Habib H.
7-666-2
Gueymard Wayenburg S.[10]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-45-76-3
Polmans M.
Bolt A.[5]
7-647-5
Pinnington Jones J.[11]
Bailly G.
0-66-16-4
Damm M.[6]
Ibraimi Y.
7-56-4
Rodesch C.
Molcan A.[12]
7-623-67-5