Ugo Blanchet vs Henrique Rocha — Canberra CH Round of 32

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
FRA
Ugo Blanchet
#170ATP
1521ELO
1546Hard ELO
$119kYTD
$989kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
POR
Henrique Rocha
#122ATP
1676ELO
1574Hard ELO
$197kYTD
$880kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
Blanchet U.
6-3 6-4
Rocha H.
Blanchet U.
662
Rocha H.
340

Ugo Blanchet defeated Henrique Rocha 6-3 6-4 in the Canberra CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Henrique Rocha came in ranked #122.

Key context

  • Match story: Ugo Blanchet closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Blanchet U.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rocha H.

Rocha H.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Blanchet U.

Serve advantage — Rocha H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Blanchet U.Rocha H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Blanchet U.Rocha H.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
34
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
67
Break points won·Slight edge
15
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Blanchet U.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Rocha H.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1546
Surface ELO
5.1+28 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1676
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
7.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Blanchet U.Rocha H.
Freshness·
—
100

Rocha H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Blockx A.[6]
Jodar R.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Blockx A.[6]
Mccabe J.
6-36-736-3
Jodar R.
Jacquet K.
6-30-0
Quarter-finals
Jodar R.
Shimabukuro S.
6-26-4
Jacquet K.
Lajovic D.[8]
7-627-5
Blockx A.[6]
Kopriva V.[1]
7-55-76-4
Mccabe J.
Barrios Vera T.[4]
6-17-65
R16
Kopriva V.[1]
Klein L.
7-617-61
Jacquet K.
Galan D.
6-26-4
Shimabukuro S.
Rodesch C.
7-657-63
Mccabe J.
Pinnington Jones J.
6-47-64
Blockx A.[6]
Carballes Baena R.
7-683-67-5
Barrios Vera T.[4]
Blanchet U.
6-766-37-64
Lajovic D.[8]
Engel J.
6-47-64
Jodar R.
Faria J.
6-16-4
R32
Pinnington Jones J.
Holt B.[5]
6-46-2
Engel J.
Mejia N.
7-661-67-66
Shimabukuro S.
Winter E.
6-46-1
Rodesch C.
Nardi L.[2]
7-646-2
Kopriva V.[1]
Nishikori K.
6-12-2
Mccabe J.
Lajal M.
7-637-68
Galan D.
Neumayer L.
7-57-5
Blanchet U.
Rocha H.
6-36-4
Lajovic D.[8]
Ofner S.
6-36-2
Klein L.
Cassone M.
4-67-56-3
Carballes Baena R.
Smith C.
7-646-3
Blockx A.[6]
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-26-3
Barrios Vera T.[4]
Sekulic P.
6-46-4
Jacquet K.
Nishioka Y.[3]
2-66-17-5
Faria J.
Moller E.[7]
6-16-3
Jodar R.
Jarry N.
6-36-4