Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico ArnaboldiNottingham CH Qualifying Round 2

Nottingham CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#227ATP
1545ELO
1472Grass ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
grass
#585ATP
1328ELO
1334Grass ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Guerrieri A.
6-4 6-4
Arnaboldi F.
Guerrieri A.
662
Arnaboldi F.
440

Andrea Guerrieri defeated Federico Arnaboldi 6-4 6-4 in the Nottingham CH qualifying round 2 on grass.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrea Guerrieri edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Guerrieri A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Arnaboldi F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Guerrieri A.

Serve advantage — Guerrieri A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
39
Break points saved·Dominant
80
41
Break points won·Dominant
40
15
Deciding sets·Even
84
80
Tiebreaks·
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.5+139 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Grass Elo 1334
7.3Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
74
99

Guerrieri A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Arnaboldi F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast