Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy PaulBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 32
#83ATP
1738ELO
1672Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-6 3-6 7-6
Paul T.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
773782
Paul T.
626661

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 3-6 7-6 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mpetshi Perricard G.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mpetshi Perricard G.Paul T.
81
Serve
71
0
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.6
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
87
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 150 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1672
Surface ELO
7.6+209 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1738
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1949
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
86

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%