Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny — Brisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 32
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
AUS
Dane Sweeny
#127ATP
1460ELO
1444Hard ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Opelka R.
6-3 7-5
Sweeny D.
Opelka R.
672
Sweeny D.
350

Reilly Opelka defeated Dane Sweeny 6-3 7-5 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Reilly Opelka came in ranked #115.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Sweeny D.

Sweeny D.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Sweeny D.
86
Serve
—
0
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.Sweeny D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
81%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Clear edge
74%
60%
Return points won·Clear edge
26%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
79%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
21.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.Sweeny D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
45
Break points saved·Dominant
100
69
Break points won·Slight edge
1
11
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Opelka R.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Sweeny D.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 41 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
8.0+290 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1444
7.9Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1460
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
7.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Country comfort
7.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.Sweeny D.
Freshness·
—
95

Sweeny D.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Medvedev D.[1]
Nakashima B.
6-27-61
Semi-finals
Nakashima B.
Kovacevic A.
7-646-4
Medvedev D.[1]
Michelsen A.
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[1]
Majchrzak K.
6-746-36-2
Nakashima B.
Collignon R.
6-36-3
Michelsen A.
Korda S.
6-37-67
Kovacevic A.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-634-66-3
R16
Korda S.
Lehecka J.[3]
6-31-2
Majchrzak K.
Opelka R.
6-727-677-68
Nakashima B.
Halys Q.
6-26-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Hijikata R.
4-67-657-64
Michelsen A.
Tien L.[8]
6-46-2
Kovacevic A.
Norrie C.[7]
7-644-66-4
Medvedev D.[1]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-2
Collignon R.
Dimitrov G.
7-616-3
R32
Lehecka J.[3]
Machac T.
6-46-756-2
Medvedev D.[1]
Fucsovics M.
6-26-3
Opelka R.
Sweeny D.
6-37-5
Norrie C.[7]
Humbert U.
1-67-667-5
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Paul T.[4]
7-623-67-66
Majchrzak K.
Altmaier D.
7-646-0
Halys Q.
Popyrin A.
5-76-36-4
Nakashima B.
Davidovich Fokina A.[2]
7-646-4
Kovacevic A.
Kyrgios N.
6-36-4
Collignon R.
Shapovalov D.[5]
6-46-2
Tien L.[8]
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-646-3
Hijikata R.
Walton A.
6-36-2
Dimitrov G.
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-2
Michelsen A.
Duckworth J.
6-747-626-3
Tiafoe F.
Vukic A.
6-26-2
Korda S.
Vacherot V.
7-616-3