Kamil Majchrzak vs Reilly OpelkaBrisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 16
#45ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
$617kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Majchrzak K.
6-7 7-6 7-6
Opelka R.
Majchrzak K.
62797102
Opelka R.
7767681

Kamil Majchrzak defeated Reilly Opelka 6-7 7-6 7-6 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Kamil Majchrzak came in ranked #45.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Majchrzak K.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving95% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Majchrzak K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Majchrzak K.Opelka R.
24
Serve
86
48
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
81%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
74%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
28%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
78%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
19.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
68
63
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Dominant
51
1
Deciding sets·Clear edge
73
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.7+5 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.3Hard Elo 1734
4.9Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1749
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
4.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Majchrzak K.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%