Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar KovacevicBrisbane Semi-final

Brisbane · ATP · Semi-final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Nakashima B.
7-6 6-4
Kovacevic A.
Nakashima B.
7762
Kovacevic A.
6440

Brandon Nakashima defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-6 6-4 in the Brisbane semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Kovacevic A.
61
Serve
52
23
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.2
10.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
53
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Slight edge
13
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.1+177 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1611
7.4Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
97

Nakashima B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kovacevic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%