Sebastian Korda vs Valentin Vacherot — Brisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 32
Sebastian Korda
USA
Sebastian Korda
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
Valentin Vacherot
MON
Valentin Vacherot
#20ATP
1903ELO
1852Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$3.5MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWW
Korda S.
7-6 6-3
Vacherot V.
Korda S.
7762
Vacherot V.
6130

Sebastian Korda defeated Valentin Vacherot 7-6 6-3 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Valentin Vacherot came in ranked #20.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Vacherot V.

Vacherot V.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Vacherot V.
61
Serve
67
58
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Korda S.Vacherot V.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.1
10.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Korda S.Vacherot V.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
69
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Dominant
73
33
Deciding sets·Even
96
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Korda S.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Vacherot V.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 69 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.4Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
4.6+87 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1903
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
7.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Medvedev D.[1]
Nakashima B.
6-27-61
Semi-finals
Nakashima B.
Kovacevic A.
7-646-4
Medvedev D.[1]
Michelsen A.
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[1]
Majchrzak K.
6-746-36-2
Nakashima B.
Collignon R.
6-36-3
Michelsen A.
Korda S.
6-37-67
Kovacevic A.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-634-66-3
R16
Korda S.
Lehecka J.[3]
6-31-2
Majchrzak K.
Opelka R.
6-727-677-68
Nakashima B.
Halys Q.
6-26-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Hijikata R.
4-67-657-64
Michelsen A.
Tien L.[8]
6-46-2
Kovacevic A.
Norrie C.[7]
7-644-66-4
Medvedev D.[1]
Tiafoe F.
6-36-2
Collignon R.
Dimitrov G.
7-616-3
R32
Lehecka J.[3]
Machac T.
6-46-756-2
Medvedev D.[1]
Fucsovics M.
6-26-3
Opelka R.
Sweeny D.
6-37-5
Norrie C.[7]
Humbert U.
1-67-667-5
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Paul T.[4]
7-623-67-66
Majchrzak K.
Altmaier D.
7-646-0
Halys Q.
Popyrin A.
5-76-36-4
Nakashima B.
Davidovich Fokina A.[2]
7-646-4
Kovacevic A.
Kyrgios N.
6-36-4
Collignon R.
Shapovalov D.[5]
6-46-2
Tien L.[8]
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-646-3
Hijikata R.
Walton A.
6-36-2
Dimitrov G.
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-2
Michelsen A.
Duckworth J.
6-747-626-3
Tiafoe F.
Vukic A.
6-26-2
Korda S.
Vacherot V.
7-616-3