Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian KordaBrisbane Quarter-final

Brisbane · ATP · Quarter-final
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Michelsen A.
6-3 7-6
Korda S.
Michelsen A.
6792
Korda S.
3670

Alex Michelsen defeated Sebastian Korda 6-3 7-6 in the Brisbane quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Sebastian Korda in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachR16hardSebastian Korda6-3 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Korda S.
34
Serve
61
46
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
9.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
46
73
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
96
Tiebreaks·Even
95
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 69 days (−1.2)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.1+45 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.9Hard Elo 1765
3.7Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1809
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%