Olivia Gadecki vs Anastasia ZakharovaBrisbane Qualifying Round 1

Brisbane · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#238WTA
1569ELO
1539Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#85WTA
1742ELO
1714Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLW
Gadecki O.
6-3 7-5
Zakharova A.
Gadecki O.
672
Zakharova A.
35

Olivia Gadecki defeated Anastasia Zakharova 6-3 7-5 in the Brisbane qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Zakharova came in ranked #85.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gadecki O.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Zakharova A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Gadecki O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gadecki O.Zakharova A.
Serve
19
Return
48

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
45
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
59
47
Break points won·Dominant
47
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
67
Tiebreaks·
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 34 days (−0.7)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 34 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1539
Surface ELO
7.0+175 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1742
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Zakharova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast