Alex Michelsen vs James DuckworthBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 32
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#79ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$485kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Michelsen A.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Duckworth J.
Michelsen A.
647762
Duckworth J.
776231

Alex Michelsen defeated James Duckworth 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-17NewportR16grassAlex Michelsen4-6 6-3 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Duckworth J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Duckworth J.
34
Serve
25
46
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
54
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Dominant
46
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 69 days (−1.2)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 41 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.6+218 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1592
7.1Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1628
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
8.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
88

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Duckworth J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%