Raphael Collignon vs Grigor DimitrovBrisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 16
#43ATP
1894ELO
1837Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Collignon R.
7-6 6-3
Dimitrov G.
Collignon R.
7762
Dimitrov G.
6130

Raphael Collignon defeated Grigor Dimitrov 7-6 6-3 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Raphael Collignon came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Raphael Collignon extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR128hardRaphael Collignon7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Collignon R.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Dimitrov G.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Collignon R.

Serve advantage — Collignon R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collignon R.Dimitrov G.
39
Serve
32
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
99
Break points won·Slight edge
55
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 69 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.1+101 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1736
6.6Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1744
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
64

Collignon R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dimitrov G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%